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Neighborhood · Tarpon Springs, FL

Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,081 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Forest Ridge is a one-tract neighborhood of Tarpon Springs, FL, population 4,081. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Tarpon Springs baseline of 32.5%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 31%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.1/10. At $962 a month, rents sit 26% under what the rest of Tarpon Springs commands.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 682 evictions logged in this tract.

The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 15.7% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 7.5% in 2017, is well off that peak. That places it #1 of 4 neighborhoods in Tarpon Springs. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Against average income of $61,953, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Forest Ridge vs Tarpon Springs How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.2% +45%
Tarpon Springs: 32.5%
Average gross rent
$962 -26%
Tarpon Springs: $1,298
Average HH income
$61,953 -10%
Tarpon Springs: $68,877
Poverty rate
16.7% +65%
Tarpon Springs: 10.2%
Renter share
17.7% -7%
Tarpon Springs: 19.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest Ridge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Forest Ridge scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Economic stress
16.7% below poverty line · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Forest Ridge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Forest Ridge score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5Forest RidgeNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Forest Ridge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103027308 4.5 4,081 47% $962
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 67

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 43%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Forest Ridge

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 682Total filings (sum)
  • 12.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.7%Peak year (2015)
  • 7.48%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 131Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly observed
  • 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.47×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Forest Ridge

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Forest Ridge?

Forest Ridge scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Forest Ridge compare to Tarpon Springs overall?

Forest Ridge scores 0.9 points higher than Tarpon Springs overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $962 vs $1,298.
Q3

What is the average rent in Forest Ridge?

Average gross rent in Forest Ridge is $962/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Forest Ridge residents are renters?

18% of Forest Ridge households are renter-occupied (vs 19% in Tarpon Springs). The neighborhood has 4,081 residents.
Q5

Is Forest Ridge a high social-vulnerability area?

Forest Ridge sits in the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Forest Ridge for landlords?

Forest Ridge carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tarpon Springs as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Forest Ridge?

Forest Ridge has 4,263 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.5%), Hispanic / Latino (11.1%), Other / Multiracial (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Forest Ridge

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tarpon Springs

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Forest Ridge.

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