Neighborhood · Tarpon Springs, FL

Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,081 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.5–3.5

Forest Ridge is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Tarpon Springs with 1 census tract and a population of 4,081 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 31% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $962/month sits 26% lower than the Tarpon Springs citywide average ($1,298).

Risk score

3.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Forest Ridge vs Tarpon Springs How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

47.2% +45%

Tarpon Springs: 32.5%

Average gross rent

$962 -26%

Tarpon Springs: $1,298

Average HH income

$61,953 -10%

Tarpon Springs: $68,877

Poverty rate

16.7% +65%

Tarpon Springs: 10.2%

Renter share

17.7% -7%

Tarpon Springs: 19.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest Ridge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.5–3.5

Why Forest Ridge scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts

1.1

Tenant organizing strength

18% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Economic stress

16.7% below poverty line · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Risk score comparison

Forest Ridge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Forest Ridge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12103027308	3.5	4,081	47%	$962

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 67

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 43%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 85%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 82%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Forest Ridge

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

682Total filings (sum)
12.46%Avg annual filing rate
15.7%Peak year (2015)
7.48%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

131Total filings 2020-21
1.8Avg monthly observed
3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.47×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Forest Ridge

What is the eviction-risk score for Forest Ridge?

Forest Ridge scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Forest Ridge compare to Tarpon Springs overall?

Forest Ridge scores 1.1 points higher than Tarpon Springs overall (2.4/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $962 vs $1,298.

What is the average rent in Forest Ridge?

Average gross rent in Forest Ridge is $962/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Forest Ridge residents are renters?

18% of Forest Ridge households are renter-occupied (vs 19% in Tarpon Springs). The neighborhood has 4,081 residents.

Is Forest Ridge a high social-vulnerability area?

Forest Ridge sits in the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Forest Ridge for landlords?

Forest Ridge carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tarpon Springs as a whole (2.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Forest Ridge?

Forest Ridge has 4,263 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.5%), Hispanic / Latino (11.1%), Other / Multiracial (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Forest Ridge

2.7 Cove Springs 2 tracts · pop 8,709 2.2 Windrush 2 tracts · pop 10,747 3.1 Gleneagles 2 tracts · pop 7,718 3 Highland Lakes 6 tracts · pop 21,442 2.9 Spanish Pines 4 tracts · pop 18,638 3 Harbor View 2 tracts · pop 5,800

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tarpon Springs

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Forest Ridge.

3.5 Union Academy 1 tracts · pop 8,136 3.2 North Lake of Tarpon Springs 1 tracts · pop 2,433 2.1 Windrush 2 tracts · pop 10,747

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