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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,438 of 84,120 nationally

The Lodges Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pinellas Park

Tract 12103025004 · Pinellas, FL · pop 6,455 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

For landlords sizing up The Lodges in Pinellas Park, census tract 12103025004 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 43% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,409 monthly, set against $61,271 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 15% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,709
Renter share26.1%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$61,271

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In The Lodges
Moderate
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#10 of 14 tracts In Pinellas Park
Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#127 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Moderate
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#2,077 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pinellas Park and the region

Centroid at 27.8485, -82.7388 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Lodges scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pinellas Park
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,409 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pinellas Park
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pinellas Park
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pinellas Park
7.3

How The Lodges compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Lodges risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 025004Pinellas Park: 2.42.4Pinellas Parkparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,059Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 8.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.0%Peak (2002)
  • 24Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121030250042000: 72 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)2001: 70 filings (10.80/100 renter HHs)2002: 149 filings (22.99/100 renter HHs)2003: 145 filings (22.38/100 renter HHs)2004: 136 filings (20.99/100 renter HHs)2005: 87 filings (12.08/100 renter HHs)2006: 32 filings (4.44/100 renter HHs)2007: 30 filings (4.17/100 renter HHs)2008: 25 filings (3.47/100 renter HHs)2009: 36 filings (5.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 24 filings (3.29/100 renter HHs)2011: 20 filings (2.11/100 renter HHs)2012: 28 filings (2.95/100 renter HHs)2013: 51 filings (5.37/100 renter HHs)2014: 60 filings (6.32/100 renter HHs)2015: 33 filings (3.48/100 renter HHs)2016: 37 filings (3.64/100 renter HHs)2017: 24 filings (2.36/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 151Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.77×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-04-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-06-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-08-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2021-01-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-04-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2023-09-01: 5 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2024-01-01: 8 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 7 filings (5.60× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Lodges. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Lodges

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pinellas Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.77x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103025004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025004?

Census tract 12103025004 in the The Lodges neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103025004?

Median gross rent is $1,409/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025004?

10.9% of residents in tract 12103025004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,455.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 92th, minority 55th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 12103025004 considered part of The Lodges?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025004 fall within The Lodges (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025004?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,059 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.16% of renter households, peaking at 23.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103025004 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.77× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103025004 compare to Pinellas Park overall?

Tract 12103025004 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Pinellas Park at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pinellas Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pinellas Park

Top eight tracts in Pinellas Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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