Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,832 of 84,120 nationally
The Lodges Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pinellas Park
Tract 12103024904 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,573 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 12103024904 in the The Lodges area of Pinellas Park ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,573 residents. On the national scale it ranks #35,482 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
67% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,246 a month against an average household income of $54,178 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,349
Renter share31.2%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$54,178
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pinellas Park and the region
Centroid at 27.8521, -82.7229 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Lodges scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pinellas Park
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,246 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pinellas Park
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pinellas Park
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pinellas Park
7.3
How The Lodges compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 431Total filings over 18 yrs
- 7.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.1%Peak (2004)
- 10Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 68% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 72Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.74×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Lodges. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Lodges
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pinellas Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.74x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103024904
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024904?
Census tract 12103024904 in the The Lodges neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103024904?
Median gross rent is $1,246/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024904?
20.2% of residents in tract 12103024904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,573.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024904?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 59th, minority 56th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 12103024904 considered part of The Lodges?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024904 fall within The Lodges (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024904?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 431 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103024904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.43% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103024904 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.74× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103024904 compare to Pinellas Park overall?
Tract 12103024904 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Pinellas Park at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pinellas Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103024904 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pinellas Park
Top eight tracts in Pinellas Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Pinellas Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Millbrooke Ranch
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Hidden Creek
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103024515
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103024516
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Pinellas Park
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103024512
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Millbrooke Ranch
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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