Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #25,537 of 84,120 nationally
Palmetto Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103028700 · Pinellas, FL · pop 1,533 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 12103028700, home to 1,533 residents in Palmetto Park in St. Petersburg, scores 5.2/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 64% of renter households, a severe level, and 53% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,761 monthly, set against $55,714 in average yearly household income, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units588
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate28.1%
Median income$55,714
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7602, -82.6612 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palmetto Park scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.1% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,761 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Palmetto Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 97%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,349Total filings over 18 yrs
- 15.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.2%Peak (2003)
- 78Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 32% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 277Total filings 2020-21
- 3.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palmetto Park
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 97% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,349 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 15.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 23.2% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103028700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103028700?
Census tract 12103028700 in the Palmetto Park neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103028700?
Median gross rent is $1,761/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103028700?
28.1% of residents in tract 12103028700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,533.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103028700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 94th, minority 89th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 12103028700 considered part of Palmetto Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103028700 fall within Palmetto Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103028700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,349 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103028700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.03% of renter households, peaking at 23.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103028700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103028700 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103028700 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103028700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 97% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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