Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Thirteenth Street Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103021200 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,537 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
12103021200 is a census tract in the Thirteenth Street Heights area of St. Petersburg, FL. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 61%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,152
Renter share52.1%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate37.7%
Median income$32,870
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7566, -82.6527 · click any tract to drill in
Why Thirteenth Street Heights scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
37.7% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$1,244 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Thirteenth Street Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 68%Grade C
- 32%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,976Total filings over 18 yrs
- 19.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.2%Peak (2000)
- 129Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 510Total filings 2020-21
- 7.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 11.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Thirteenth Street Heights
Cost burden runs roughly three in four here against 53.4% across Pinellas County. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.4/10. Set annual rent against average income of $32,870 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.
Disability prevalence runs 47.7% against 31.5% nationally. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
At $1,244 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of St. Petersburg commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.6% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Pinellas County average of 3.8.
Court records carry 1,976 eviction filings across 18 observed years.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103021200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103021200?
Census tract 12103021200 in the Thirteenth Street Heights neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103021200?
Median gross rent is $1,244/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103021200?
37.7% of residents in tract 12103021200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,537.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103021200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 83th, minority 88th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 12103021200 considered part of Thirteenth Street Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103021200 fall within Thirteenth Street Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103021200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,976 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103021200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.22% of renter households, peaking at 24.2% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103021200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103021200 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103021200 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103021200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 32% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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