Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,730 of 84,120 nationally
Childs Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103022000 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,114 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
For landlords sizing up Childs Park in St. Petersburg, census tract 12103022000 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #53,945 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 72% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 63% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,659 a month against an average household income of $51,526 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units967
Renter share21.5%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate18.9%
Median income$51,526
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7669, -82.6896 · click any tract to drill in
Why Childs Park scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.9% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Childs Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 47%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 610Total filings over 18 yrs
- 9.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.9%Peak (2004)
- 40Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 82% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 134Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Childs Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Childs Park
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.53x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 610 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 10.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.9% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103022000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103022000?
Census tract 12103022000 in the Childs Park neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103022000?
Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103022000?
18.9% of residents in tract 12103022000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,114.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103022000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 65th, minority 81th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 12103022000 considered part of Childs Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103022000 fall within Childs Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103022000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 610 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103022000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.99% of renter households, peaking at 18.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103022000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103022000 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103022000 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103022000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Related