Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #78,006 of 84,120 nationally
Northeast Park Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103024002 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,890 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
For landlords sizing up the Northeast Park area of St. Petersburg, census tract 12103024002 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #64,262 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,134 a month while the average household earns $112,442 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,880
Renter share9.9%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$112,442
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
13
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.8126, -82.6247 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northeast Park scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,134 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Northeast Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 25Total filings over 14 yrs
- 0.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2016)
- 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 16Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northeast Park
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.48x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 25 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 0.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.5% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103024002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024002?
Census tract 12103024002 in the Northeast Park neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103024002?
Median gross rent is $2,134/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024002?
3.0% of residents in tract 12103024002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,890.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 16th, minority 30th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 12103024002 considered part of Northeast Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024002 fall within Northeast Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 12103024002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.74% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103024002 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103024002 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103024002 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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