Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Palmetto Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103028700 · Pinellas, FL · pop 1,533 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 12103028700 covers part of the Palmetto Park area of St. Petersburg, FL, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 53%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units588
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate28.1%
Median income$55,714
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7602, -82.6612 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palmetto Park scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.1% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,761 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Palmetto Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 97%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,349Total filings over 18 yrs
- 15.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.2%Peak (2003)
- 78Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 32% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 277Total filings 2020-21
- 3.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palmetto Park
Set annual rent against average income of $55,714 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
It sits 1.1 points above the Pinellas County average of 3.8. The filing record is not thin: 1,349 evictions over 18 years of observation.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. Filings peaked in 2003 at 23.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 15.0% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103028700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103028700?
Census tract 12103028700 in the Palmetto Park neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103028700?
Median gross rent is $1,761/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103028700?
28.1% of residents in tract 12103028700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,533.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103028700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 94th, minority 89th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 12103028700 considered part of Palmetto Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103028700 fall within Palmetto Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103028700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,349 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103028700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.03% of renter households, peaking at 23.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103028700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103028700 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103028700 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103028700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 97% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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