Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,730 of 84,120 nationally
Edge District Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103021600 · Pinellas, FL · pop 1,957 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Here is how census tract 12103021600, in the Edge District area of St. Petersburg, looks to a landlord: a 4.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 1,957. It lands near the 29th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,278 a month against an average household income of $64,432 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 86% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 50%
Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,277
Renter share86.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate23.2%
Median income$64,432
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7718, -82.6526 · click any tract to drill in
Why Edge District scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.2% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,278 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Edge District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 16%Grade C
- 36%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 720Total filings over 18 yrs
- 3.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.1%Peak (2002)
- 33Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 113Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Edge District
What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.70x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103021600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103021600?
Census tract 12103021600 in the Edge District neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103021600?
Median gross rent is $1,278/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103021600?
23.2% of residents in tract 12103021600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,957.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103021600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 56th, minority 57th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 12103021600 considered part of Edge District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103021600 fall within Edge District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103021600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 720 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103021600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.59% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103021600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103021600 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103021600 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103021600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 36% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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