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Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Crooked Lake Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105015405 · Polk, FL · pop 2,887 · 43% of tract blocks fall in Crooked Lake Park

For landlords sizing up Crooked Lake Park in Polk County, census tract 12105015405 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.

31% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,572 a month while the average household earns $49,688 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 16% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units975
Renter share22.8%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate30.2%
Median income$49,688

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Crooked Lake Park
Moderate
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#462 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#20,889 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Crooked Lake Park and the region

Centroid at 27.8029, -81.6057 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crooked Lake Park scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Crooked Lake Park
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.2% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,572 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Crooked Lake Park
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Crooked Lake Park
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Crooked Lake Park
7.1

How Crooked Lake Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crooked Lake Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 015405Crooked Lake Park: 2.02.0Crooked Lake Parkparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 130Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 4.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.1%Peak (2015)
  • 12Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050154052000: 7 filings (4.86/100 renter HHs)2001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 2 filings (1.39/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (2.08/100 renter HHs)2004: 8 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)2005: 6 filings (2.19/100 renter HHs)2007: 16 filings (5.85/100 renter HHs)2008: 4 filings (1.46/100 renter HHs)2009: 11 filings (4.02/100 renter HHs)2010: 4 filings (1.90/100 renter HHs)2011: 8 filings (3.60/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (1.35/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (4.95/100 renter HHs)2014: 11 filings (4.95/100 renter HHs)2015: 18 filings (8.11/100 renter HHs)2016: 6 filings (5.36/100 renter HHs)2017: 12 filings (10.71/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 71% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crooked Lake Park

What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Crooked Lake Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 130 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 4.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.1% of renter households in 2015.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105015405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105015405?

Census tract 12105015405 in Crooked Lake Park scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105015405?

Median gross rent is $1,572/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105015405?

30.2% of residents in tract 12105015405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,887.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105015405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 72th, minority 53th, housing 72th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105015405?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 12105015405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.27% of renter households, peaking at 8.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105015405 compare to Crooked Lake Park overall?

Tract 12105015405 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Crooked Lake Park at 2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Crooked Lake Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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