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Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Bradley Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105016100 · Polk, FL · pop 1,502 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Bradley Junction

With a score of $1/10, tract 12105016100 in Bradley Junction in Polk County ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,502 residents. On the national scale it ranks #50,904 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 56% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $953 monthly, set against $40,104 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 13% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units514
Renter share30.4%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate29.7%
Median income$40,104

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bradley Junction
Moderate
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#462 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#20,889 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bradley Junction and the region

Centroid at 27.7459, -81.9783 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bradley Junction scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bradley Junction
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.7% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$953 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bradley Junction
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bradley Junction
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bradley Junction
1.4

How Bradley Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bradley Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 016100Bradley Junction: 2.42.4Bradley Junctionparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 1.58%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak (2000)
  • 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050161002000: 3 filings (3.53/100 renter HHs)2001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (1.18/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (1.18/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (0.85/100 renter HHs)2007: 2 filings (1.71/100 renter HHs)2008: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2009: 2 filings (1.71/100 renter HHs)2010: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)2014: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (1.94/100 renter HHs)2017: 1 filings (0.97/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bradley Junction

What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bradley Junction, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 14 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 1.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.5% of renter households in 2000.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105016100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105016100?

Census tract 12105016100 in Bradley Junction scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105016100?

Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105016100?

29.7% of residents in tract 12105016100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,502.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105016100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 91th, minority 57th, housing 66th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105016100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12105016100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.58% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105016100 compare to Bradley Junction overall?

Tract 12105016100 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Bradley Junction at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bradley Junction; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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