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Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Bartow Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105015301 · Polk, FL · pop 4,201 · 28% of tract blocks fall in Bartow

Here is how census tract 12105015301, in Bartow, looks to a landlord: a 5.4/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,201. That is riskier than roughly 54% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $877 monthly, set against $41,611 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 9% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,466
Renter share16.2%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate27.1%
Median income$41,611

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In Bartow
Very High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#462 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#20,889 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bartow and the region

Centroid at 27.8683, -81.7735 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bartow scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bartow
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.1% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$877 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bartow
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bartow
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bartow
6.1

How Bartow compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bartow risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 015301Bartow: 2.22.2Bartowparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 408Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 6.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.0%Peak (2015)
  • 31Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050153012000: 17 filings (5.67/100 renter HHs)2001: 21 filings (7.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 16 filings (5.33/100 renter HHs)2003: 21 filings (7.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 23 filings (7.67/100 renter HHs)2005: 31 filings (8.96/100 renter HHs)2007: 20 filings (5.78/100 renter HHs)2008: 34 filings (9.83/100 renter HHs)2009: 21 filings (6.07/100 renter HHs)2010: 11 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2011: 28 filings (7.35/100 renter HHs)2012: 31 filings (8.14/100 renter HHs)2013: 19 filings (4.99/100 renter HHs)2014: 22 filings (5.77/100 renter HHs)2015: 38 filings (9.97/100 renter HHs)2016: 24 filings (6.69/100 renter HHs)2017: 31 filings (8.64/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 82% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bartow

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bartow, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 408 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 6.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.0% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105015301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105015301?

Census tract 12105015301 in Bartow scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105015301?

Median gross rent is $877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105015301?

27.1% of residents in tract 12105015301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,201.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105015301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 87th, minority 64th, housing 87th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105015301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 408 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105015301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.92% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105015301 compare to Bartow overall?

Tract 12105015301 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Bartow at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bartow; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bartow

Top eight tracts in Bartow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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