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Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105013801 · Polk, FL · pop 4,109 · 54% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Tract 12105013801, home to 4,109 residents in Winter Haven, scores 6.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 78th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,269 a month while the average household earns $49,288 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 21% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,633
Renter share44.5%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate26.9%
Median income$49,288

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#462 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#20,889 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.0173, -81.7503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.9% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,269 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 013801Winter Haven: 2.42.4Winter Havenparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 952Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 8.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.4%Peak (2007)
  • 48Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050138012000: 43 filings (5.61/100 renter HHs)2001: 48 filings (6.27/100 renter HHs)2002: 69 filings (9.01/100 renter HHs)2003: 82 filings (10.70/100 renter HHs)2004: 49 filings (6.40/100 renter HHs)2005: 77 filings (8.88/100 renter HHs)2007: 99 filings (11.42/100 renter HHs)2008: 66 filings (7.61/100 renter HHs)2009: 60 filings (6.92/100 renter HHs)2010: 29 filings (6.43/100 renter HHs)2011: 28 filings (6.31/100 renter HHs)2012: 56 filings (12.61/100 renter HHs)2013: 37 filings (8.33/100 renter HHs)2014: 44 filings (9.91/100 renter HHs)2015: 48 filings (10.81/100 renter HHs)2016: 69 filings (12.41/100 renter HHs)2017: 48 filings (8.63/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Haven, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 952 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 8.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.4% of renter households in 2007.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013801?

Census tract 12105013801 in Winter Haven scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013801?

Median gross rent is $1,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013801?

26.9% of residents in tract 12105013801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,109.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 90th, minority 69th, housing 71th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 952 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.72% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105013801 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105013801 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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