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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Dundee Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105014131 · Polk, FL · pop 3,102

Tract 12105014131 sits in Dundee, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 3,102. 58% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 21% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units951
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate39.1%
Median income$36,393

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Dundee
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dundee and the region

Centroid at 28.0207, -81.6209 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dundee scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dundee
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
39.1% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$1,598 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dundee
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dundee
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dundee
9.3

How Dundee compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dundee risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0141314.0Dundeeparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dundee

Set annual rent against average income of $36,393 and the ratio lands at 53%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.8/10.

Against Polk County at 45.8%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10.

Disability prevalence runs 52.7% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 9.3/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 29.4% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. The voucher gap is 19.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014131

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014131?

Census tract 12105014131 in Dundee scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105014131?

Median gross rent is $1,598/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014131?

39.1% of residents in tract 12105014131 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,102.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014131?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 65th, minority 87th, housing 43th.
Q5

How does tract 12105014131 compare to Dundee overall?

Tract 12105014131 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dundee at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundee; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dundee

Top eight tracts in Dundee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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