Census Tract · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105013602 · Polk, FL · pop 4,043 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Tract 12105013602, home to 4,043 residents in Winter Haven, scores 6.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 78% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,030 monthly, set against $45,357 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 28% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units1,310

Renter share49.2%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate36.2%

Median income$45,357

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.0463, -81.7171 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Winter Haven

4.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

36.2% poverty · this tract

9.0

Supply constraint

$1,030 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Winter Haven

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Winter Haven

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Winter Haven

7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

90%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Haven, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013602?

Census tract 12105013602 in Winter Haven scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12105013602?

Median gross rent is $1,030/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013602?

36.2% of residents in tract 12105013602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,043.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 74th, minority 89th, housing 94th.

How does tract 12105013602 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105013602 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.