Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105013701 · Polk, FL · pop 2,118
Census tract 12105013701 covers part of Winter Haven, FL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. At $597 a month, rents run 52% under what the rest of Winter Haven commands.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,112
Renter share87.9%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$26,080
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region
Centroid at 28.0250, -81.7316 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winter Haven scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$597 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
How Winter Haven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 607Total filings over 17 yrs
- 4.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.5%Peak (2017)
- 69Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 263% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. 88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. Disability prevalence runs 47.0% against 31.5% nationally. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
It sits 1.5 points above the Polk County average of 3.9. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.6% against 11.3% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 607 evictions over 17 years of observation. about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Polk County average of 45.8%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105013701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013701?
Census tract 12105013701 in Winter Haven scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105013701?
Median gross rent is $597/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013701?
19.5% of residents in tract 12105013701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,118.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 65th, minority 54th, housing 80th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 607 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.08% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105013701 compare to Winter Haven overall?
Tract 12105013701 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven
Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12105013602
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013801
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013901
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013601
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013802
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013702
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105014003
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105014501
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related