Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Willow Oak Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12105011908 · Polk, FL · pop 4,187 · 53% of tract blocks fall in Willow Oak
Tract 12105011908 sits in Willow Oak, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. Population here is 4,187. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,785
Renter share54.2%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$65,341
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Willow Oak and the region
Centroid at 27.9422, -82.0151 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willow Oak scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Willow Oak
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,194 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Willow Oak
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Willow Oak
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Willow Oak
7.3
How Willow Oak compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 451Total filings over 17 yrs
- 6.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.7%Peak (2000)
- 21Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 54% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willow Oak
Against Polk County at 45.8%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 451 evictions over 17 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2000, when 16.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Polk County average of 3.9 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105011908
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011908?
Census tract 12105011908 in Willow Oak scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105011908?
Median gross rent is $1,194/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011908?
10.3% of residents in tract 12105011908 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,187.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011908?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 8th, minority 40th, housing 64th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011908?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 451 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011908 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.47% of renter households, peaking at 16.7% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105011908 compare to Willow Oak overall?
Tract 12105011908 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Willow Oak at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Willow Oak; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Willow Oak
Top eight tracts in Willow Oak ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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