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Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 12105014203 Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105014203 · Polk, FL · pop 2,707

Tract 12105014203 sits in Polk County, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. It is home to 2,707 residents. Severe burden reaches 48%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 1% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,456
Renter share4.5%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$38,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#1,779 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,813 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Polk and the region

Centroid at 27.9079, -81.3833 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 12105014203 scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,090 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 12105014203 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 12105014203 risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0142033.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 69Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 2.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak (2014)
  • 2Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105014203
Filings dropped 33% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 12105014203

Cost burden runs 85% here against 45.8% across Polk County. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $38,875 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Running cool, local political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Disability prevalence runs 43.9% against 31.5% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 69 evictions over 16 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2014, when 4.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014203?

Census tract 12105014203 in Polk scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105014203?

Median gross rent is $1,090/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 85% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014203?

16.5% of residents in tract 12105014203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,707.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 52th, minority 11th, housing 50th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105014203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 12105014203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.61% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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