Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105014003 · Polk, FL · pop 3,579 · 22% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven
Here is how census tract 12105014003, in Winter Haven, looks to a landlord: a 5.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,579. That is riskier than about 72% of US census tracts.
68% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,550 a month while the average household earns $57,527 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,484
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$57,527
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region
Centroid at 27.9877, -81.6749 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winter Haven scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,550 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
How Winter Haven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 352Total filings over 17 yrs
- 7.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2017)
- 49Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 4,800% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Haven, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 352 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 7.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.6% of renter households in 2017.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105014003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014003?
Census tract 12105014003 in Winter Haven scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105014003?
Median gross rent is $1,550/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014003?
16.7% of residents in tract 12105014003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,579.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 58th, minority 63th, housing 87th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105014003?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 352 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105014003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.58% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105014003 compare to Winter Haven overall?
Tract 12105014003 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven
Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12105013602
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105013901
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105013801
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013701
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013601
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013802
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013702
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105014501
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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