Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105014003 · Polk, FL · pop 3,579 · 22% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven
Census tract 12105014003 covers part of Winter Haven, FL, and scores 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,579. Cost burden runs 68% here against 45.8% across Polk County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region
Centroid at 27.9877, -81.6749 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winter Haven scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Winter Haven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 352Total filings over 17 yrs
- 7.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2017)
- 49Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $57,527 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,550, 24% above the Winter Haven average.
The voucher gap is 15.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Court records carry 352 eviction filings across 17 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2017 at 9.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Polk County average of 3.9 closely. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 12105014003
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014003?
What is the average rent in tract 12105014003?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014003?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014003?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105014003?
How does tract 12105014003 compare to Winter Haven overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven
Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.