Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105012208 · Polk, FL · pop 3,416 · 34% of tract blocks fall in Lakeland

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12105012208 (Lakeland in Polk County, Florida) comes in at 4.4/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 21st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 83% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,238 a month while the average household earns $44,191 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 9% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units1,342

Renter share52.3%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate9.6%

Median income$44,191

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 28.1248, -81.9640 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeland scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lakeland

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

9.6% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,238 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lakeland

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lakeland

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lakeland

2.5

How Lakeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

78%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeland

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Polk County average of 5.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012208

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012208?

Census tract 12105012208 in Lakeland scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12105012208?

Median gross rent is $1,238/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012208?

9.6% of residents in tract 12105012208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,416.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012208?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 94th, minority 68th, housing 29th.

How does tract 12105012208 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105012208 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.