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Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Fruitville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115001302 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,174

Census tract 12115001302 covers part of Fruitville, FL, and scores 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 21% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,097
Renter share46.0%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$70,521

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Fruitville
Very High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
High
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#1,779 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,813 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fruitville and the region

Centroid at 27.3317, -82.4649 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fruitville scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fruitville
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,812 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fruitville
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fruitville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fruitville
6.2

How Fruitville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fruitville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0013024.1Fruitvilleparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 81Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak (2002)
  • 16Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115001302
Filings dropped 24% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fruitville

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

The filing record is not thin: 81 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. The worst year on record was 2002, when 4.8% of renter households were served.

Average gross rent is $1,812, 8% below the Fruitville average. In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 54% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $70,521. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115001302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001302?

Census tract 12115001302 in Fruitville scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115001302?

Median gross rent is $1,812/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001302?

8.7% of residents in tract 12115001302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,174.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 52th, minority 26th, housing 54th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 81 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.15% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115001302 compare to Fruitville overall?

Tract 12115001302 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Fruitville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fruitville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fruitville

Top eight tracts in Fruitville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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