Palmer Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12115002007 · Sarasota, FL · pop 2,287 · 68% of tract blocks fall in Palmer Ranch
Census tract 12115002007 covers part of Palmer Ranch, FL, and scores 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,287 residents. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Palmer Ranch and the region
Centroid at 27.2184, -82.4789 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palmer Ranch scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Palmer Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 6%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 25Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.2%Peak (2018)
- 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Palmer Ranch
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. Against Sarasota County at 50.3%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The filing record is not thin: 25 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. Average gross rent is $1,611, 10% below the Palmer Ranch average.
The worst year on record was 2018, when 2.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Palmer Ranch as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 12115002007
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002007?
What is the average rent in tract 12115002007?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002007?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002007?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002007?
How does tract 12115002007 compare to Palmer Ranch overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Palmer Ranch
Top eight tracts in Palmer Ranch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.