Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Venice Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12115002305 · Sarasota, FL · pop 1,768 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 12115002305 covers part of the Venice Beach area of Venice, FL, and scores 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,768 residents. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units991
Renter share19.7%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$61,587
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Venice and the region
Centroid at 27.1096, -82.4409 · click any tract to drill in
Why Venice Beach scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Venice
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,428 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Venice
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Venice
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Venice
6.6
How Venice Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 17Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2003)
- 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Venice Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Venice Beach
Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 50.3% across Sarasota County. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 17 filings here across 5 tracked years. At $1,428 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Venice commands. Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points.
Filings peaked in 2003 at 2.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.8/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115002305
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002305?
Census tract 12115002305 in the Venice Beach neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115002305?
Median gross rent is $1,428/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002305?
10.5% of residents in tract 12115002305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,768.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002305?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 38th, minority 10th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 12115002305 considered part of Venice Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115002305 fall within Venice Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002305?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002305 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.62% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12115002305 compare to Venice overall?
Tract 12115002305 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Venice at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Venice; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Venice
Top eight tracts in Venice ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12115002302
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115002403
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Venice Beach
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115002404
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115002729
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115002730
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115002307
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Venice Beach
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Related