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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Osprey Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115002101 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,246

12115002101 is a census tract in Osprey, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 6% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,407
Renter share10.9%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$101,291

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Osprey
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#109 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Osprey and the region

Centroid at 27.1904, -82.4757 · click any tract to drill in

Why Osprey scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Osprey
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,867 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Osprey
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Osprey
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Osprey
6.8

How Osprey compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Osprey risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0021013.6Ospreyparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Osprey

The voucher gap is 55.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

Average gross rent is $2,867, 31% above the Osprey average. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $101,291, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against Sarasota County at 50.3%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened.

It sits 0.8 points below the Sarasota County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002101?

Census tract 12115002101 in Osprey scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002101?

Median gross rent is $2,867/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002101?

2.8% of residents in tract 12115002101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,246.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 39th, minority 10th, housing 11th.
Q5

How does tract 12115002101 compare to Osprey overall?

Tract 12115002101 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Osprey at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Osprey; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Osprey

Top eight tracts in Osprey ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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