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Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

South Venice Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115002508 · Sarasota, FL · pop 2,882

Tract 12115002508 sits in South Venice, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. It is home to 2,882 residents. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 4% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,386
Renter share11.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$62,346

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In South Venice
High
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#2,265 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#48,956 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Venice and the region

Centroid at 27.0349, -82.4209 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Venice scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Venice
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,932 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Venice
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Venice
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Venice
6.6

How South Venice compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Venice risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 0025083.6South Veniceparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 41Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.3%Peak (2015)
  • 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115002508
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Venice

65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Sarasota County average of 50.3%. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $62,346, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Court records carry 41 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 4.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10.

It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002508

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002508?

Census tract 12115002508 in South Venice scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002508?

Median gross rent is $1,932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002508?

7.9% of residents in tract 12115002508 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,882.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002508?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 33th, minority 10th, housing 30th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002508?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002508 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.77% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115002508 compare to South Venice overall?

Tract 12115002508 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of South Venice at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Venice; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Venice

Top eight tracts in South Venice ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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