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Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

South Venice Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115002509 · Sarasota, FL · pop 6,063

Census tract 12115002509 covers part of South Venice, FL, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,063. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 5% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,525
Renter share15.7%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$70,994

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In South Venice
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,428 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Venice and the region

Centroid at 27.0308, -82.4098 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Venice scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Venice
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$2,052 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Venice
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Venice
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Venice
6.6

How South Venice compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Venice risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0025093.6South Veniceparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 59Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.9%Peak (2015)
  • 14Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115002509
Filings climbed 40% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Venice

Against Sarasota County at 50.3%, 66% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $70,994 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

It sits 0.9 points above the Sarasota County average of 3.8. Court records carry 59 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Average gross rent is $2,052, 11% above the South Venice average.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 3.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002509

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002509?

Census tract 12115002509 in South Venice scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002509?

Median gross rent is $2,052/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002509?

15.4% of residents in tract 12115002509 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,063.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002509?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 19th, minority 16th, housing 42th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002509?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 59 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002509 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.04% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115002509 compare to South Venice overall?

Tract 12115002509 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of South Venice at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Venice; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Venice

Top eight tracts in South Venice ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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