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Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Springs Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12117021404 · Seminole, FL · pop 9,152 · 74% of tract blocks fall in Winter Springs

Tract 12117021404 sits in Winter Springs, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. Population here is 9,152. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 8% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units3,719
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$83,139

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Winter Springs
Moderate
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#61 of 89 tracts In Seminole
Low
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#3,121 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#59,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Springs and the region

Centroid at 28.6857, -81.2985 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Springs scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Springs
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,701 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Springs
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Springs
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Springs
5.5

How Winter Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0214043.7Winter Springsparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Springs

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against Seminole County at 52.5%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 0.8 points below the Seminole County average of 4.2. Average gross rent is $1,701, 9% below the Winter Springs average.

That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $83,139.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12117021404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117021404?

Census tract 12117021404 in Winter Springs scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12117021404?

Median gross rent is $1,701/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12117021404?

5.3% of residents in tract 12117021404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,152.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12117021404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 36th, minority 67th, housing 28th.
Q5

How does tract 12117021404 compare to Winter Springs overall?

Tract 12117021404 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Winter Springs at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Springs

Top eight tracts in Winter Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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