Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Crescent Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12109021209 · St. Johns, FL · pop 3,037 · 14% of tract blocks fall in Crescent Beach
12109021209 is a census tract in Crescent Beach, FL. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,037 residents. 64% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,187
Renter share20.4%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate28.2%
Median income$85,296
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Crescent Beach and the region
Centroid at 29.7114, -81.2800 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crescent Beach scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Crescent Beach
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.2% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$964 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Crescent Beach
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Crescent Beach
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Crescent Beach
4.8
How Crescent Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crescent Beach
74% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the St. Johns County average of 53.0%. At $964 a month, rents run 59% under what the rest of Crescent Beach commands.
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10.
It sits 0.9 points above the St. Johns County average of 3.7. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $85,296, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109021209
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109021209?
Census tract 12109021209 in Crescent Beach scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109021209?
Median gross rent is $964/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109021209?
28.2% of residents in tract 12109021209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,037.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109021209?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 59th, minority 29th, housing 87th.
Q5
How does tract 12109021209 compare to Crescent Beach overall?
Tract 12109021209 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Crescent Beach at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Crescent Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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