Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Nocatee Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12109020605 · St. Johns, FL · pop 17,160

Census tract 12109020605 sits in Nocatee, Florida eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. That is riskier than about 14% of US census tracts.

About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,501 monthly, set against $124,077 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 11% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units6,924
Renter share19.1%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$124,077

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Nocatee
Very High
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 50 tracts In St. Johns
Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#4,951 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
National
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#79,998 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nocatee and the region

Centroid at 30.0851, -81.4099 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nocatee scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nocatee
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nocatee
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nocatee
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nocatee
4.5

How Nocatee compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nocatee risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 020605Nocatee: 2.32.3Nocateeparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nocatee

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nocatee, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Johns County average of 3.9 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12109020605

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020605?

Census tract 12109020605 in Nocatee scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12109020605?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020605?

5.1% of residents in tract 12109020605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 17,160.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020605?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 42th, minority 30th, housing 5th.
Q5

How does tract 12109020605 compare to Nocatee overall?

Tract 12109020605 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Nocatee at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nocatee; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nocatee

Top eight tracts in Nocatee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related