Nocatee Eviction Risk: Lower

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 102.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against St. Johns County at 53.0%, 40% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $124,077, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the St. Johns County average of 3.7 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.