Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Nocatee Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12109020708 · St. Johns, FL · pop 8,703 · 48% of tract blocks fall in Nocatee
Census tract 12109020708 covers part of Nocatee, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 8,703 residents. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,797
Renter share7.1%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$202,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Nocatee and the region
Centroid at 30.1767, -81.4187 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nocatee scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Nocatee
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,948 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nocatee
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nocatee
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nocatee
4.5
How Nocatee compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings over 4 yrs
- 0.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.8%Peak (2018)
- 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nocatee
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 70.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the St. Johns County average of 53.0%. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10.
Disability prevalence runs 19.0% against 31.5% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,948, 16% below the Nocatee average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 7 filings here across 4 tracked years.
It sits 0.7 points below the St. Johns County average of 3.7. Filings peaked in 2018 at 1.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.3/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109020708
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020708?
Census tract 12109020708 in Nocatee scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109020708?
Median gross rent is $2,948/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020708?
3.7% of residents in tract 12109020708 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,703.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020708?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 52th, minority 32th, housing 2th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109020708?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12109020708 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.92% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12109020708 compare to Nocatee overall?
Tract 12109020708 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Nocatee at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nocatee; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Nocatee
Top eight tracts in Nocatee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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