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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Palm Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12109020706 · St. Johns, FL · pop 3,491

Census tract 12109020706 covers part of Palm Valley, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,491 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 4% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,054
Renter share3.6%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$214,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Palm Valley
Low
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#35 of 50 tracts In St. Johns
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palm Valley and the region

Centroid at 30.1693, -81.3917 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palm Valley scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palm Valley
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,261 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm Valley
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm Valley
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm Valley
5.7

How Palm Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palm Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0207063.6Palm Valleyparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 3.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.6%Peak (2010)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12109020706
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palm Valley

The voucher gap is 30.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. At $2,261 a month, rents run 22% over what the rest of Palm Valley commands. Disability prevalence runs 19.4% against 31.5% nationally.

Court records carry 4 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Against the St. Johns County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

Filings peaked in 2010 at 5.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12109020706

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020706?

Census tract 12109020706 in Palm Valley scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12109020706?

Median gross rent is $2,261/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020706?

2.6% of residents in tract 12109020706 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,491.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020706?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 16th, minority 16th, housing 20th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109020706?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12109020706 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.32% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12109020706 compare to Palm Valley overall?

Tract 12109020706 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Palm Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palm Valley

Top eight tracts in Palm Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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