Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Palm Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12109020707 · St. Johns, FL · pop 4,650
Census tract 12109020707 covers part of Palm Valley, FL, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,650. roughly three in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the St. Johns County average of 53.0%.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,422
Renter share40.9%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$71,361
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Palm Valley and the region
Centroid at 30.2366, -81.3981 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palm Valley scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Palm Valley
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,697 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm Valley
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm Valley
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm Valley
5.7
How Palm Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 237Total filings over 5 yrs
- 6.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2008)
- 30Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palm Valley
The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 237 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
It sits 0.8 points above the St. Johns County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2008, when 11.9% of renter households were served.
At $1,697 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Palm Valley commands. In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $71,361. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109020707
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020707?
Census tract 12109020707 in Palm Valley scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109020707?
Median gross rent is $1,697/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020707?
6.8% of residents in tract 12109020707 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,650.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020707?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 7th, minority 21th, housing 43th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109020707?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 237 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12109020707 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.79% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12109020707 compare to Palm Valley overall?
Tract 12109020707 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Palm Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Palm Valley
Top eight tracts in Palm Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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