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Census Tract · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally

Palm Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12109020707 · St. Johns, FL · pop 4,650

The Moderate-tier score of 4.6/10 for census tract 12109020707 reflects conditions in Palm Valley, Florida. That is riskier than about 26% of US census tracts.

About 75% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,697 a month while the average household earns $71,361 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 10% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,422
Renter share40.9%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$71,361

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Palm Valley
Very High
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 50 tracts In St. Johns
Elevated
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#3,822 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#66,742 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palm Valley and the region

Centroid at 30.2366, -81.3981 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palm Valley scores 2.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palm Valley
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,697 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm Valley
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm Valley
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm Valley
5.7

How Palm Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palm Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.52.5This tracttract 020707Palm Valley: 2.12.1Palm Valleyparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 237Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.9%Peak (2008)
  • 30Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121090207072006: 49 filings (8.35/100 renter HHs)2008: 70 filings (11.93/100 renter HHs)2009: 41 filings (6.99/100 renter HHs)2010: 47 filings (3.92/100 renter HHs)2018: 30 filings (2.78/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palm Valley

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Palm Valley, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Johns County average of 3.9 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 237 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 6.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.9% of renter households in 2008.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12109020707

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020707?

Census tract 12109020707 in Palm Valley scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12109020707?

Median gross rent is $1,697/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020707?

6.8% of residents in tract 12109020707 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,650.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020707?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 7th, minority 21th, housing 43th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109020707?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 237 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12109020707 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.79% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12109020707 compare to Palm Valley overall?

Tract 12109020707 scores 2.5/10, higher than the parent city of Palm Valley at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palm Valley

Top eight tracts in Palm Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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