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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

The Villages - District 7 Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12119911207 · Sumter, FL · pop 5,722 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 12119911207 in the The Villages - District 7 area of The Villages, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,722. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 3% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units3,380
Renter share7.0%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$67,434

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In The Villages - District 7
Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 17 tracts In The Villages
Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 28 tracts In Sumter
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across The Villages and the region

Centroid at 28.8840, -81.9843 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Villages - District 7 scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from The Villages
3.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,706 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from The Villages
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from The Villages
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from The Villages
6.2

How The Villages - District 7 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Villages - District 7 risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 9112073.3The Villagesparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Villages - District 7. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Villages - District 7

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 60% here against 47.9% across Sumter County.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 24.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $1,706, 22% above the The Villages average.

Against the Sumter County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $67,434.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12119911207

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12119911207?

Census tract 12119911207 in the The Villages - District 7 neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12119911207?

Median gross rent is $1,706/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12119911207?

3.9% of residents in tract 12119911207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,722.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12119911207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 15th, minority 2th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 12119911207 considered part of The Villages - District 7?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12119911207 fall within The Villages - District 7 (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12119911207 compare to The Villages overall?

Tract 12119911207 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of The Villages at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from The Villages eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in The Villages

Top eight tracts in The Villages ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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