Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

The Villages Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12119911702 · Sumter, FL · pop 5,006 · 89% of tract blocks fall in The Villages

Tract 12119911702 sits in The Villages eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.3/10. It is home to 5,006 residents. 62% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

3.3

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 3% Owners 87%

Tract context

Occupied units2,989

Renter share13.0%

SVI overall0.40

Poverty rate5.5%

Median income$60,436

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Villages and the region

Centroid at 28.9516, -81.9770 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Villages scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from The Villages

3.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.2

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

5.5% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from The Villages

9.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from The Villages

2.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from The Villages

6.2

How The Villages compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

41%Socioeconomic
21%Household composition
9%Racial/ethnic minority
72%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Villages

Cost burden runs 78% here against 47.9% across Sumter County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Sumter County average of 3.8 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12119911702

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12119911702?

Census tract 12119911702 in The Villages scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12119911702?

5.5% of residents in tract 12119911702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,006.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12119911702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 21th, minority 9th, housing 72th.

How does tract 12119911702 compare to The Villages overall?

Tract 12119911702 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of The Villages at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from The Villages eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in The Villages

Top eight tracts in The Villages ranked by composite eviction-risk score.