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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Village at Watervale Eviction Risk: Lower , Evans

Tract 13073030108 · Columbia County, GA · pop 6,615 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 13073030108 in the Village at Watervale area of Martinez, GA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,615 residents. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 6% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,319
Renter share8.4%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$131,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Village at Watervale
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In Evans
Very Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 25 tracts In Columbia County
Very Low
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#2,121 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Evans and the region

Centroid at 33.5403, -82.0602 · click any tract to drill in

Why Village at Watervale scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Evans
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,568 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evans
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evans
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evans
4.5

How Village at Watervale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Village at Watervale risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0301083.4Evansparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Village at Watervale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Village at Watervale

The voucher gap is 33.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.3/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,568, 22% above the Martinez average.

Food insecurity runs 6.3% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 4.0% against 15.2% nationally. 31% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Columbia County average of 36.6%.

Against the Columbia County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $131,375, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the GA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 13073030108

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13073030108?

Census tract 13073030108 in the Village at Watervale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13073030108?

Median gross rent is $1,568/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13073030108?

8.4% of residents in tract 13073030108 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,615.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13073030108?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 60th, minority 44th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 13073030108 considered part of Village at Watervale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13073030108 fall within Village at Watervale (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 13073030108 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 13073030108 compare to Evans overall?

Tract 13073030108 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Evans at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evans eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Evans

Top eight tracts in Evans ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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