Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

St. Simons Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 13127000302 · Glynn County, GA · pop 2,439 · 6% of tract blocks fall in St. Simons

Tract 13127000302 sits in St. Simons, GA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 2,439. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units1,059

Renter share12.2%

SVI overall0.04

Poverty rate7.8%

Median income$140,972

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Simons and the region

Centroid at 31.2502, -81.3284 · click any tract to drill in

Why St. Simons scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from St. Simons

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.8

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

7.8% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$2,434 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from St. Simons

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from St. Simons

1.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from St. Simons

1.1

How St. Simons compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

4%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
9%Racial/ethnic minority
22%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.7%Housing insecurity
3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
5.3%Food insecurity
3.6%SNAP enrollment
3.6%Transit barriers
6.0%No health insurance
11.0%Frequent mental distress
26.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in St. Simons

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 92.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.3/10.

Average gross rent is $2,434, 35% above the St. Simons average. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Against the Glynn County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Housing insecurity runs 4.7% against 14.2% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the GA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 13127000302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13127000302?

Census tract 13127000302 in St. Simons scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13127000302?

Median gross rent is $2,434/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13127000302?

7.8% of residents in tract 13127000302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,439.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13127000302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 10th, minority 9th, housing 22th.

What share of households in tract 13127000302 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13127000302 compare to St. Simons overall?

Tract 13127000302 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Simons at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Simons; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Simons

Top eight tracts in St. Simons ranked by composite eviction-risk score.