Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
St. Simons Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 13127000202 · Glynn County, GA · pop 4,258
Census tract 13127000202 covers part of St. Simons, GA, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,258. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,649
Renter share11.7%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$106,607
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Simons and the region
Centroid at 31.1766, -81.3966 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. Simons scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Simons
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,126 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Simons
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Simons
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Simons
1.1
How St. Simons compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 8%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 12.0%Frequent mental distress
- 24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. Simons
76% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Glynn County average of 36.3%. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,126, 74% above the St. Simons average.
The voucher gap is 147.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.3/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $106,607 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Food insecurity runs 5.5% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.2 points below the Glynn County average of 4.2.
Housing insecurity runs 5.2% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 13127000202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13127000202?
Census tract 13127000202 in St. Simons scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13127000202?
Median gross rent is $3,126/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13127000202?
3.1% of residents in tract 13127000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,258.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13127000202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 19th, minority 8th, housing 72th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 13127000202 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 13127000202 compare to St. Simons overall?
Tract 13127000202 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Simons at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Simons; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Simons
Top eight tracts in St. Simons ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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