1 census tracts · pop 3,854 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10
· range 4.5–4.5
The Downs is a one-tract neighborhood of Lawrenceville, GA, population 3,854. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 84% against 37.1% citywide, putting The Downs 46.6% over its own city.
Average gross rent is $2,629, 63% above the Lawrenceville average of $1,613. The voucher gap is 43.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 9.4/10.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10.
Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Lawrenceville, it ranks #10 by risk, the middle third. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
For a like-for-like read, Acadia Woods and Timber Gate score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $99,063.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Downs vs LawrencevilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport12%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in The Downs
Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
169Total filings 2020-21
2.2Avg monthly observed
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Atlanta, GA).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Downs
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
16.0%Housing insecurity
9.8%Utility shutoff threat
18.0%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
13.5%No health insurance
27.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About The Downs
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The Downs?
The Downs scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The Downs compare to Lawrenceville overall?
The Downs scores 0.1 points lower than Lawrenceville overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 84% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $2,629 vs $1,613.
Q3
What is the average rent in The Downs?
Average gross rent in The Downs is $2,629/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of The Downs residents are renters?
10% of The Downs households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Lawrenceville). The neighborhood has 3,854 residents.
Q5
Is The Downs a high social-vulnerability area?
The Downs sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is The Downs for landlords?
The Downs carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lawrenceville as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of The Downs?
The Downs has 4,024 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (55.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
