Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Timber Gate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lawrenceville
Tract 13135050569 · Gwinnett County, GA · pop 5,237 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 13135050569 sits in the Timber Gate area of Lawrenceville eviction risk, GA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. It is home to 5,237 residents. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,722
Renter share35.6%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$58,958
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lawrenceville and the region
Centroid at 33.9649, -83.9741 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timber Gate scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lawrenceville
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,500 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lawrenceville
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lawrenceville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lawrenceville
8.0
How Timber Gate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,148Total filings 2020-21
- 15.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Timber Gate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.8%Housing insecurity
- 13.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.3%Food insecurity
- 18.2%SNAP enrollment
- 12.3%Transit barriers
- 17.4%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timber Gate
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. 67% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Gwinnett County average of 52.0%.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10.
Against the Gwinnett County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Housing insecurity runs 21.8% against 14.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the GA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,500, close to the Lawrenceville average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $58,958.
36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 13135050569
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13135050569?
Census tract 13135050569 in the Timber Gate neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13135050569?
Median gross rent is $1,500/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13135050569?
13.2% of residents in tract 13135050569 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,237.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13135050569?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 91th, minority 86th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 13135050569 considered part of Timber Gate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13135050569 fall within Timber Gate (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 13135050569 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 13135050569 compare to Lawrenceville overall?
Tract 13135050569 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lawrenceville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrenceville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lawrenceville
Top eight tracts in Lawrenceville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Forest River
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Regal Estates
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Forest East
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Kensington Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Jackson Township
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Wynfield
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
Hanarry Estates
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
Wynfield
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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