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Neighborhood · Gainesville, GA

Waterford Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,580 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 6–6

Waterford is a one-tract neighborhood of Gainesville, GA and houses 2,580 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 58% against 34.5% citywide, putting Waterford 23.3% over its own city.

SNAP participation is 43.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. 23.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This is a renter market: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 24%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,214, 7% below the Gainesville average of $1,299. Among the 21 mapped neighborhoods of Gainesville, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Wild Fern and Rainbow Village.

One tract means one number: 6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Waterford vs Gainesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.8% +68%
Gainesville: 34.5%
Average gross rent
$1,214 -7%
Gainesville: $1,299
Average HH income
$45,754 -29%
Gainesville: $64,636
Poverty rate
21.7% +11%
Gainesville: 19.6%
Renter share
81.2% +33%
Gainesville: 60.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Waterford and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6–6

Why Waterford scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
81% renter households · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Economic stress
21.7% below poverty line · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Waterford vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Waterford score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.0WaterfordNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city4.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Waterford

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
13139001007 6 2,580 58% $1,214
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 98

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 99%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 94%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Waterford

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Waterford

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Waterford?

Waterford scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Waterford compare to Gainesville overall?

Waterford scores 1.4 points higher than Gainesville overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,214 vs $1,299.
Q3

What is the average rent in Waterford?

Average gross rent in Waterford is $1,214/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Waterford residents are renters?

81% of Waterford households are renter-occupied (vs 61% in Gainesville). The neighborhood has 2,580 residents.
Q5

Is Waterford a high social-vulnerability area?

Waterford sits in the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Waterford for landlords?

Waterford carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Gainesville as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Waterford?

Waterford has 2,821 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (53.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (15%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Waterford

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Gainesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Waterford.

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