Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeland Forest Eviction Risk: Elevated , Valdosta
Tract 13185010404 · Lowndes County, GA · pop 5,504 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 13185010404 sits in the Lakeland Forest area of Valdosta eviction risk, GA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. It is home to 5,504 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 48%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,688
Renter share77.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate23.0%
Median income$47,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valdosta and the region
Centroid at 30.8634, -83.2763 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeland Forest scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valdosta
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
23.0% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,089 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valdosta
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valdosta
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valdosta
8.1
How Lakeland Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.3%Housing insecurity
- 20.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.8%Food insecurity
- 35.5%SNAP enrollment
- 18.8%Transit barriers
- 19.3%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 42.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakeland Forest
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. Food insecurity runs 36.8% against 17.8% nationally. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.1/10. Against the Lowndes County average of 4.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.3% against 11.3% nationally.
Against Lowndes County at 42.1%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. Nationally it ranks #17,132 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10. Statewide the GA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 13185010404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13185010404?
Census tract 13185010404 in the Lakeland Forest neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13185010404?
Median gross rent is $1,089/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13185010404?
23.0% of residents in tract 13185010404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,504.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13185010404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 73th, minority 89th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 13185010404 considered part of Lakeland Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13185010404 fall within Lakeland Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 13185010404 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 13185010404 compare to Valdosta overall?
Tract 13185010404 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Valdosta at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valdosta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valdosta
Top eight tracts in Valdosta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Prescott
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Provident
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Forrest Place
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Provident
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Hallmark Heights
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
13185011402
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Charter Oaks
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
South Ree Springs
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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