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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Provident Eviction Risk: Elevated , Valdosta

Tract 13185010900 · Lowndes County, GA · pop 1,743 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

13185010900 is a census tract in the Provident area of Valdosta, GA. It scores 6.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,743. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 35% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units726
Renter share59.6%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate34.9%
Median income$33,226

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Provident
Very High
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 18 tracts In Valdosta
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 29 tracts In Lowndes County
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Valdosta and the region

Centroid at 30.8276, -83.3070 · click any tract to drill in

Why Provident scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Valdosta
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
34.9% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$979 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valdosta
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valdosta
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valdosta
8.1

How Provident compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Provident risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.7This tracttract 0109005.3Valdostaparent city4.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Provident. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Provident

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $33,226, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.7/10. Against the Lowndes County average of 4.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.7% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the GA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 13185010900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13185010900?

Census tract 13185010900 in the Provident neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13185010900?

Median gross rent is $979/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13185010900?

34.9% of residents in tract 13185010900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,743.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13185010900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 95th, minority 86th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 13185010900 considered part of Provident?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13185010900 fall within Provident (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 13185010900 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 13185010900 compare to Valdosta overall?

Tract 13185010900 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Valdosta at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valdosta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Valdosta

Top eight tracts in Valdosta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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