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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Kumulani Eviction Risk: Moderate , Makakilo

Tract 15003008631 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,988 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 15003008631 in the Kumulani area of Makakilo, HI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Honolulu County average of 50.9%.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 6% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,153
Renter share18.6%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate0.7%
Median income$112,596

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Kumulani
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Makakilo
Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#237 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#302 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Makakilo and the region

Centroid at 21.3748, -158.1005 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kumulani scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Makakilo
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
0.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,401 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Makakilo
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Makakilo
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Makakilo
6.5

How Kumulani compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kumulani risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0086315.9Makakiloparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kumulani. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kumulani

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.

Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10.

Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003008631

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003008631?

Census tract 15003008631 in the Kumulani neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003008631?

Median gross rent is $2,401/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003008631?

0.7% of residents in tract 15003008631 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,988.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003008631?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 5th, minority 85th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 15003008631 considered part of Kumulani?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003008631 fall within Kumulani (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003008631 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003008631 compare to Makakilo overall?

Tract 15003008631 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Makakilo at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Makakilo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Makakilo

Top eight tracts in Makakilo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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