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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Kumulani Eviction Risk: Elevated , Makakilo

Tract 15003008634 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,235 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

15003008634 is a census tract in the Kumulani area of Makakilo, HI. It scores 6.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,235. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 13% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,017
Renter share36.9%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$110,494

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Kumulani
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Makakilo
Very High
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#141 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Elevated
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#165 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Makakilo and the region

Centroid at 21.3614, -158.0822 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kumulani scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Makakilo
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,946 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Makakilo
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Makakilo
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Makakilo
6.5

How Kumulani compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kumulani risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.3This tracttract 0086345.9Makakiloparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kumulani. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kumulani

Cost burden runs 66% here against 50.9% across Honolulu County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.

At $1,946 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Makakilo commands. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Honolulu County average of 6.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $110,494.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003008634

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003008634?

Census tract 15003008634 in the Kumulani neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003008634?

Median gross rent is $1,946/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003008634?

14.1% of residents in tract 15003008634 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,235.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003008634?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 30th, minority 85th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 15003008634 considered part of Kumulani?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003008634 fall within Kumulani (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003008634 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003008634 compare to Makakilo overall?

Tract 15003008634 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Makakilo at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Makakilo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Makakilo

Top eight tracts in Makakilo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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