Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Kalihi Valley Eviction Risk: High , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003006302 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,183 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
15003006302 is a census tract in the Kalihi Valley area of Urban Honolulu, HI. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,183 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 46%
Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units610
Renter share84.8%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate53.7%
Median income$49,434
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
99
th percentile
Very High
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.3494, -157.8675 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kalihi Valley scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
53.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$812 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Kalihi Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kalihi Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.8%Housing insecurity
- 21.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 55.8%Food insecurity
- 53.8%SNAP enrollment
- 23.6%Transit barriers
- 13.3%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 49.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kalihi Valley
Average gross rent is $812, 55% below the Urban Honolulu average. SNAP participation runs 53.8% against 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 54%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10.
This is renter territory: 85% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Disability prevalence runs 49.2% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 2.0 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 46% here against 50.9% across Honolulu County. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003006302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003006302?
Census tract 15003006302 in the Kalihi Valley neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003006302?
Median gross rent is $812/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003006302?
53.7% of residents in tract 15003006302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,183.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003006302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 95th, minority 96th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 15003006302 considered part of Kalihi Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003006302 fall within Kalihi Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003006302 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003006302 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003006302 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · HI
Lower Mānoa
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
The Arts District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
Moiliili
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
The Arts District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
Moiliili
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
The Arts District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
The Arts District
8
/ 10 · High
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