Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003503 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,044 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 15003003503 belongs to the Lower Mānoa neighborhood of Urban Honolulu, Hawaii. It is home to 1,044 residents and scores 5.9/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 72% of US census tracts.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is about $1,392 a month. Renters make up 88% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 43% Owners 12%

Tract context

Occupied units661

Renter share88.2%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate31.0%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3010, -157.8413 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Mānoa scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

31.0% poverty · this tract

7.8

Supply constraint

$1,392 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Lower Mānoa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

53%Socioeconomic
62%Household composition
95%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.2%Housing insecurity
9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
31.6%Food insecurity
25.5%SNAP enrollment
12.2%Transit barriers
8.2%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
37.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and above the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Asian and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003503

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003503?

Census tract 15003003503 in the Lower Mānoa neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003003503?

Median gross rent is $1,392/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003503?

31.0% of residents in tract 15003003503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,044.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 62th, minority 95th, housing 77th.

Is tract 15003003503 considered part of Lower Mānoa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003503 fall within Lower Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003003503 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003003503 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003503 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.