Within neighborhood
92
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: High , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003003503 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,044 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 15003003503 in the Lower Mānoa area of Urban Honolulu, HI reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,044. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units661
Renter share88.2%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate31.0%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
99
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.3010, -157.8413 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Mānoa scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
31.0% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,392 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Lower Mānoa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.2%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.6%Food insecurity
- 25.5%SNAP enrollment
- 12.2%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 37.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Food insecurity runs 31.6% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,392, 24% below the Urban Honolulu average.
SNAP participation runs 25.5% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 51% of renters.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003003503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003503?
Census tract 15003003503 in the Lower Mānoa neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003003503?
Median gross rent is $1,392/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003503?
31.0% of residents in tract 15003003503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,044.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 62th, minority 95th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 15003003503 considered part of Lower Mānoa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003503 fall within Lower Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003003503 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003003503 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003003503 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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