Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Kalihi Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003982000 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,054 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

15003982000 is a census tract in the Kalihi Valley area of Urban Honolulu, HI. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,054 residents. Average gross rent is $3,501, 92% above the Urban Honolulu average.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 54% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units192
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$132,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Kalihi Valley
Very Low
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#119 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Very Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#199 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Low
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#242 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3552, -157.8712 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kalihi Valley scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Kalihi Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kalihi Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 9820006.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kalihi Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kalihi Valley

100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 30.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Against Honolulu County at 50.9%, 46% of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003982000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003982000?

Census tract 15003982000 in the Kalihi Valley neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003982000?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003982000?

2.6% of residents in tract 15003982000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,054.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003982000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 5th, minority 52th, housing 23th.
Q5

Is tract 15003982000 considered part of Kalihi Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003982000 fall within Kalihi Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003982000 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003982000 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003982000 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related