Within neighborhood
19
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Moiliili Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003002205 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,879 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 6.9/10, tract 15003002205 in the Moiliili area of Urban Honolulu, HI reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,879 residents. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Honolulu County average of 50.9%.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units890
Renter share58.7%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$74,631
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.2847, -157.8240 · click any tract to drill in
Why Moiliili scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,806 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Moiliili compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Moiliili. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 7.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 3.5%No health insurance
- 11.6%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Moiliili
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0.
SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003002205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003002205?
Census tract 15003002205 in the Moiliili neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003002205?
Median gross rent is $1,806/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003002205?
4.5% of residents in tract 15003002205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,879.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003002205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 14th, minority 87th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 15003002205 considered part of Moiliili?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003002205 fall within Moiliili (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003002205 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003002205 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003002205 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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