Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: High , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003003410 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,342 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 15003003410 sits in the Lower Mānoa area of Urban Honolulu eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.8/10.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units809
Renter share75.4%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate39.2%
Median income$71,601
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.3038, -157.8384 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Mānoa scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
39.2% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$1,623 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Lower Mānoa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.4%Housing insecurity
- 11.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.5%Food insecurity
- 31.6%SNAP enrollment
- 14.3%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 39.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa
The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. Food insecurity runs 37.5% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. SNAP participation runs 31.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,623, 11% below the Urban Honolulu average. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003003410
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003410?
Census tract 15003003410 in the Lower Mānoa neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003003410?
Median gross rent is $1,623/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003410?
39.2% of residents in tract 15003003410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,342.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003410?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 49th, minority 94th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 15003003410 considered part of Lower Mānoa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003410 fall within Lower Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003003410 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003003410 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003003410 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related