Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Moiliili Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003002403 ·
Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,606 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
15003002403 is a census tract in the Moiliili area of Urban Honolulu, HI. It scores 7.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,606 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%Stable renters 34%Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units758
Renter share80.5%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$70,641
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
28th percentile
#24 of 33 tracts In Moiliili
Low
Within parent city
51th percentile
#65 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Moderate
Within county
73th percentile
#90 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Elevated
Within state
78th percentile
#95 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.2930, -157.8294 · click any tract to drill in
Why Moiliili scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,684 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Moiliili compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.0%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
18.6%Food insecurity
11.2%SNAP enrollment
7.1%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
14.1%Frequent mental distress
27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Moiliili
This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.
58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Honolulu County average of 50.9%. Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,684, close to the Urban Honolulu average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $70,641.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003002403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003002403?
Census tract 15003002403 in the Moiliili neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003002403?
Median gross rent is $1,684/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003002403?
6.9% of residents in tract 15003002403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,606.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003002403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 25th, minority 90th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 15003002403 considered part of Moiliili?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003002403 fall within Moiliili (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003002403 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003002403 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003002403 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.